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Stochastic Model for Power Grid Dynamics

机译:电网动力学的随机模型

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摘要

We introduce a stochastic model that describes the quasi-static dynamics of an electric transmission network under perturbations introduced by random load fluctuations, random removing of system components from service, random repair times for the failed components, and random response times to implement optimal system corrections for removing line overloads in a damaged or stressed transmission network. We use a linear approximation to the network flow equations and apply linear programming techniques that optimize the dispatching of generators and loads in order to eliminate the network overloads associated with a damaged system. We also provide a simple model for the operator's response to various contingency events that is not always optimal due to either failure of the state estimation system or due to the incorrect subjective assessment of the severity associated with these events. This further allows us to use a game theoretic framework for casting the optimization of the operator's response into the choice of the optimal strategy which minimizes the operating cost. We use a simple strategy space which is the degree of tolerance to line overloads and which is an automatic control (optimization) parameter that can be adjusted to trade off automatic load shed without propagating cascades versus reduced load shed and an increased risk of propagating cascades. The tolerance parameter is chosen to describes a smooth transition from a risk averse to a risk taken strategy...
机译:我们介绍了一种随机模型,该模型描述了在随机负载波动,服务中系统组件的随机移除,故障组件的随机维修时间以及实现最佳系统校正的随机响应时间所引起的扰动下,输电网络的准静态动力学。用于消除损坏或压力较大的传输网络中的线路过载。我们对网络流量方程使用线性近似,并应用线性规划技术优化发电机和负荷的分配,以消除与损坏的系统相关的网络过载。我们还为操作员对各种意外事件的响应提供了一个简单的模型,由于状态估计系统的故障或与这些事件相关的严重性的不正确的主观评估,因此并非总是最佳的。这进一步允许我们使用博弈论框架将操作员响应的优化转化为最佳策略的选择,从而将运营成本降至最低。我们使用一个简单的策略空间,它是对线路过载的容忍度,并且是一个自动控制(优化)参数,可以调整该参数以权衡自动负载下降而无需传播级联,而降低负载下降和增加级联传播的风险。选择公差参数来描述从规避风险到采取风险策略的平稳过渡...

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